Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.Turkish regulators blocked access to dozens of cryptocurrency exchanges, and the Turkish Capital Markets Board listed websites that allegedly provided unauthorized cryptoasset services to Turkish customers.
Morgan Stanley Xing Ziqiang: China can fully withstand the improvement of the central financial deficit ratio. On December 13th, Xing Ziqiang, chief economist of Morgan Stanley China, said at the "Caijing Annual Meeting 2025: Forecast and Strategy" and the 2024 Global Wealth Management Forum that the Central Economic Work Conference broke the previous mindset of fiscal prudence. It is predicted that the budget of deficit ratio will reach a higher level next year, and may even exceed the level of 2020 (above 3.6%). With China's relatively strong national balance sheet, it can fully withstand the relatively high deficit ratio of the central government. Most other countries in the world have abandoned the so-called deficit ratio constraint of around 3% after facing the downturn of the real estate market and other factors.Port hedland's iron ore exports increased to 48.755 million tons in November.Technology giants have shown that Amazon and Meta each donated $1 million to Trump's inauguration fund. An Amazon spokesperson said that the company will donate $1 million to the inauguration fund of US President-elect Donald Trump. American technology companies hope to establish a positive relationship with the government, and Meta Platforms Inc has previously donated funds for inauguration activities. Trump said on Thursday that he will also meet with Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, highlighting his contacts with technology giants. Trump said in an interview that Bezos will come next week. An Amazon spokesperson said on Thursday that in addition to direct donations, Amazon will also broadcast the inauguration ceremony live. Amazon said that these donations are corporate activities and are not funded by Bezos. Trump said on Thursday that Zuckerberg, the founder of Facebook, also met with him and mentioned his friendship with elon musk, the founder of Tesla and SpaceX. Meta, which owns Facebook and Instagram, also donated $1 million to Trump's inauguration fund. "I want to hear ideas from them," Trump said of business leaders. "We hope they can do well."
The space robot won the TGA annual game "Black Myth Wukong", the TGA award ceremony is in progress, and "Astro Bot" won the TGA annual game. Other nominated games include Black Myth: Wukong, Clown Card, Eldon Circle: The Shadow of Huang Jinshu, Final Fantasy 7: Rebirth, Metaphorical Fantasy: Refantazio. Cosmic Robot is a game work developed by Team ASOBI and released by Sony Interactive Entertainment. Players and ASTRO have launched a brand-new super-large adventure trip to explore more than 50 exciting and varied worlds. The release of the game coincides with the 30th anniversary of PlayStation game console, and a lot of tribute elements have been added to the game works, which has also become one of the reasons why the game attracts worldwide attention. (Sina Technology)On the 13th, the South Korean opposition party reported to the National Assembly on the motion of impeaching President Yin Xiyue again. (Xinhua News Agency)Chengdu Luqiao invested in the establishment of a mining company in Inner Mongolia. According to the enterprise survey APP, recently, Harqin Banner Beichenxing Mining Co., Ltd. was established, with Hu Wen as the legal representative and a registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes: metal ore sales; Non-metallic minerals and products sales; Manufacturing of nonmetallic mineral products; Mineral processing; Mineral washing and processing; Non-metallic waste and debris processing, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is indirectly wholly-owned by Chengdu Luqiao.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14